Know your edge before you commit.
Upload any prediction market screenshot. FadeMe grades your bet, estimates true odds, and tells you whether to buy, hold, or fade — in seconds. Find the bets that won't hit and profit by fading them.
Analyze. Predict. Fade.
Polymarket · Politics
Will the Fed cut rates before Q4?
Works with every platform
The Strategy
What does it mean to fade a bet?
Fading is one of the most powerful edges in prediction markets — and most traders ignore it.
Spot the Overpriced Bet
Markets overprice popular narratives. When the crowd piles into a YES at 80¢ but the real probability is 60%, that's a fade opportunity worth taking.
Find the Edge
FadeMe compares the market's implied probability against our AI's true estimate. A big gap = a clear fade. Upload a screenshot and we do the math in seconds.
Profit When They're Wrong
You don't need to predict the future — you just need to be right more than the market. Consistently fading mispriced bets is how sharp traders build long-term profit.
The FadeMe edge in plain English
If a bet is priced at 75¢ (implied 75% chance) but our AI estimates the true probability at 55%, the market is mispriced by 20%. That's a FADE — bet NO, and the market is paying you 25¢ on a coin that should flip tails 45% of the time.
Verdict
FADE
20% edge against market
How It Works
Three steps. Ten seconds.
No complex setup. No manual data entry. Just drop a screenshot and get a sharp, honest analysis.
Screenshot
Take a screenshot of any prediction market bet on Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, or any other platform.
Analyze
Our AI reads your bet, calculates the true probability, and grades it against the market price.
Win
Get a clear BUY, HOLD, or FADE recommendation with full reasoning so you always know your edge.
Features
Every edge matters.
FadeMe gives you institutional-grade analysis on every bet, automatically.
AI Bet Grading
Every bet gets an S–F grade based on the edge between the market's implied probability and our AI's true estimate.
True Odds Estimation
We analyze the underlying event, historical patterns, and market sentiment to estimate what the real probability should be.
Smart Recommendations
BUY when you have edge, HOLD when it's fair value, FADE when the market is pricing you out. Simple and actionable.
Risk Analysis
Get the bull case, bear case, and the three key risks you need to watch before placing your bet.
Profit Calculator
What's your edge worth?
Small improvements in bet selection compound into significant returns.
Estimated monthly profit
$500
$6,000 / year
Results depend on bet selection, market conditions, and individual skill. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
What Users Say
Real results.
“Caught a 12% mispricing on a Fed rate cut contract that I would have totally missed. This tool pays for itself.”
Marcus T.
@marcust_kalshi
“I analyze 30+ bets a month. FadeMe cut my research time in half and my hit rate went up. The risk breakdowns are gold.”
Jordan K.
Polymarket trader
“Refreshingly honest — it actually tells you when a bet is NOT worth taking. Most tools just hype everything up.”
Priya M.
@priya_predicts
Zero Risk to You
We analyze. You decide. Your accounts stay yours.
We never touch your money
FadeMe is purely an analysis tool. We have no ability to place bets, move funds, or interact with your trading accounts in any way.
No account access needed
No API keys. No logins to Kalshi, Polymarket, or any other platform. Just upload a screenshot — that's all we ever see.
Screenshots aren't stored
Screenshots are not stored by FadeMe. They are sent to our AI provider for analysis only, and are subject to their standard data retention policy.
FAQ
Questions? We've got answers.
Everything you need to know before your first analysis.
Still have questions?
Your first analysis is just $1. Try it risk-free.